"To thrive, nurse educators need to be familiar with and apply the principles of complexity science."

Wendy Carter Kooken

In Pursuit of Nursing’s Preferred Future

Through a new lens

by Wendy S. Carter Kooken

Complexity science, writes the author, is a useful method for predicting future trends in nursing education.

Wendy S. Carter KookenOne year ago, I served on a committee assigned to make renovation recommendations for our university department of nursing. Other committee members made decisions about the building area each would investigate, but I took the role of thinking about the future. Since such recommendations may not occur for many years, the salient question for me was, “What amount and kinds of space would be needed 10 years from now to educate student nurses?”

The project led me to think about the future needs of nursing education. I discovered little available literature on this topic. At the time, I could not make any confident predictions related to the education needs of nurses. However, one year later, I can offer some suggestions.

The lens of complexity science
My confidence in making suggestions about future needs in nursing education does not come from a belief that I suddenly am better able to predict the future, but from viewing the future through a new—for me—lens, complexity science. Complexity science suggests that prediction and control in complex systems are illusions at best, and the focus in such systems should be adaptability (Zimmerman, Lindberg, & Plsek, 2001).

My premise is that schools of nursing are complex adaptive systems. To thrive, nurse educators need to be familiar with and apply the principles of complexity science, particularly the principle of designing preferred futures. Designing preferred futures is a way to respond to current problems in an environment in which the future is not predictable. This does not mean ignoring possible, plausible or probable futures (Roy, 2000; World Future Society, 2002). It does mean, however, that energies in the present context are devoted to visioning what nursing education could be. Designing preferred futures in schools of nursing is a hallmark of leadership.

One year ago, I struggled to predict what might be needed for the renovation of our department. Now, guided by complexity science, I would turn in a different report than I did a year ago. I now conclude that building needs cannot effectively be determined outside the vision of curricular and program needs in nursing education. If I were to write a report today, I would cite common problems in nursing education and provide my response to those problems in terms of preferred futures. Requests for changes to the building would derive from the real renovation recommendations that relate to the preferred futures of nursing education.

Problem: Nurse educators cannot keep up with the latest trends in society, technology and health care.
Medical knowledge doubles every eight years. At that rate, our current technological knowledge will represent only 1 percent of such knowledge in the year 2050 (Hall, 2001). Nursing faculty shortages compound the problem of managing ever-increasing knowledge. Faculty have difficulty keeping pace with the present and cannot see how investing scarce time and energy into “future think” will benefit them now.

Preferred future: Schools of nursing will each have a “future committee.”
The future committee would have the same status as other committees in the school. This group would function as a formal knowledge-sharing network (Allee, 2003), managing and sharing knowledge related to the latest and predicted trends in society, health care and technology. Knowledge sharing of this sort encourages resourcefulness, creativity and diversity of ideas that can be used in strategies to better educate nursing students. Noticing the emergence of unexpected relationships between new trends (Zimmerman et al., 2001), as well as identifying important characteristics of upcoming generations (Tough, 2002) would inform the continuing design of nursing education’s preferred future in the school.

Problem: Schools of nursing cannot keep up with costs and training related to changing technology.
Literature suggests that nursing faculty are only advanced beginners (McNeil et al., 2003) in their use of information technology. Barriers to the use of technology include budget, time for training and an overall lack of technological skills (Potempa et al., 2001).

Preferred future: Nurse educators and health care technology companies will partner in research, design and implementation of technology in health care. Adequate time for technology training will be incorporated into faculty workload.
Nurse educators need to control the way technology shapes the futures of nurses. For example, a technology corporation-nursing school partnership is described as a kind of arrangement that could allow co-evolution to take place, where each partner mutually benefits and grows in ways not possible alone (Zimmerman et al., 2001; Connors, Weaver, Warren & Miller, 2002). In partnerships such as this, corporations would have access to the next generation of nurses, who ultimately will use the designed products. Conversely, schools of nursing would have access to the latest technology rather than draining their budgets to remain technologically up-to-date. Entrepreneurship of this kind is an emerging and important trend in health care (Hall, 2001; McBride, 2005).

Problem: Student nurses feel unprepared for practice in current health care settings, which are also complex adaptive systems (Ross & Clifford, 2002).
The transition from student nurse to practitioner is widely acknowledged as an extremely stressful period, with some of the stress related to the feeling that one has to know everything (Charnley, 1999).

Preferred future: Nurse educators will consistently incorporate futuristic assignments and complexity science into coursework. Nursing students will learn to design preferred futures in order to become leaders in this profession.
Student nurses should learn that in complex adaptive systems, it is impossible to know everything and that leadership is never about being in the center of one’s comfort zone. Rather, it is about being comfortable with leading at the edge (Zimmerman et al., 2001). Nurse educators beckon students to leadership through vision as told in Flatland, a story about having the vision necessary to lead others (Abbott, 1992). In this story, a square who sees the world in two dimensions suddenly has new dimensions revealed to him when he is exposed to a sphere. Once the square sees a new way of looking at the world, he cannot return to his old way of seeing only flatness.

Nurse educators must also be open to seeing new dimensions. One way I incorporate the future into coursework is by using “Star Trek Next Generation” episodes as the base from which students learn to resolve current health care problems in futuristic ways. I am consistently amazed by their ability to design preferred futures in which they creatively resolve presently unsolved health problems.

Problem: Nurses are relatively invisible and silent in health care and the world.
Gordon (1998) first raised the question of why nurses, who are human caring experts, are seldom consulted in regard to that expertise. As a follow-up, it was proposed that part of the answer to this question relates to nurses’ self-imposed silence about what we do (Buresh & Gordon, 2000).

Preferred future: Interdisciplinary alliances in research and creative collaborations will be strategically initiated by nurse educators.
Through interdisciplinary interaction, nurses will make visible what we do. This should begin with school of nursing faculty members mindfully engaging with other disciplines to shape both the profession of nursing and health care. Out-of-the-ordinary collaborations should be sought to encourage emergence of unexpected relationships leading to innovation (Zimmerman et al., 2001). It is the responsibility of leaders to use authority to create a vision for the future that benefits the profession (McBride, 2005). Imagine a future in which nursing students regularly participate in and make important contributions to interdisciplinary research outcomes.

What will nursing education become?
Nurse educators are crucial in designing the future of nursing. We prepare students for entry into the complex world of health care. Watson (2002) posed a question in poetic form:

What will nursing be,
What will nursing become,
How will nursing be defined/redefined,
When the systems that have defined it,
Controlled it, and given it its identity
Are no longer standing behind it?

For me, the answer to Watson’s question is that, in designing preferred futures, nurses and nurse educators will define and determine what nursing will become. When we lose our way in the complexities of health care, we will remember the path is clear through the vision of preferred futures. What is your preferred future for nursing education? RNL

Wendy S. Carter Kooken, RN, MSN, is assistant professor in the Department of Nursing at Bradley University in Peoria, Ill.

References:

Abbott, E. (1992). Flatland: A romance of many dimensions. Mineola, NY: Dover.

Allee, V. (2003). The future of knowledge—Increasing prosperity through value networks. Burlington, MA: Butterworth-Heinemann.

Buresh, B., & Gordon, S. (2000). From silence to voice—What nurses know and must communicate to the public. Ottawa, Ontario: Canadian Nurses Association.

Charnley, E. (1999). Occupational stress in the newly qualified staff nurse. Nursing Standard, 13(29), 33-36.

Connors, H., Weaver, C., Warren, J., & Miller, K. (2002). An academic-business partnership for advancing clinical informatics. Nursing Education Perspectives, 23(5), 228-233.

Gordon, S. (1998). Life support: Three nurses on the front lines. USA: Back Bay Books.

Hall, H. (2001). Trends, models, and new approaches: A review of futurist literature with implications for program development in Georgia’s technical colleges. Retrieved November 2, 2005, from http://www.coe.uga.edu/ORG/research/trends.pdf

McBride, A. (2005, June). Orchestrating a faculty career. Presentation in Leadership in Complex Systems, Indianapolis, IN.

McNeil, B., Elfrink, V., Bickford, C., Pierce, S., Beyea, S., Averill, C., et. al. (2003). Nursing information technology knowledge, skills, and preparation of student nurses, nursing faculty, and clinicians: A U.S. survey. Journal of Nursing Education, 42(8), 341-349.

Potempa, K., Stanley, J., Davis, B., Miller, K., Hassett, M., & Pepicell, S. (2001). Survey of distance technology use in AACN member schools. Journal of Professional Nursing, 17(1), 7-13.

Ross, H., & Clifford, K. (2002). Research as a catalyst for change: The transition from student to registered nurse. Journal of Clinical Nursing, 11, 545-553.

Roy, C. (2000). The visible and invisible fields that shape the future of the nursing care system. Nursing Administration Quarterly, 25(1), 119-131.

Tough, A. (2002). Four urgent requests from future generations. Retrieved November 2, 2005, from http://www.wfs.org/fgtough2.htm

Watson, J. (2002). Nursing: Seeking its source and survival. ICUs Nursing Web Journal. Retrieved November 2, 2005, from http://www.nursing.gr/J.W.editorial.pdf

World Future Society. (2002). The future—An owner’s manual. Retrieved November 2, 2005, from http://www.wfs.org/ownermanual.htm

Zimmerman, B., Lindberg, C., & Plsek, P. (2001). Edgeware—Insights from complexity science for health care leaders. Irving, TX: VHA Inc.

Photo: Duane Zehr


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